Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.634896 14.072106 15.622738 17.422797 19.458298 21.692511 24.335772
2025-08-03 10.371646 12.306542 14.546682 17.342866 20.754818 24.801883 29.994110
2025-08-10 8.669995 10.859760 13.553717 17.136604 21.813890 27.763277 35.984592
2025-08-17 7.368944 9.676232 12.670136 16.883014 22.727627 30.651593 42.382666
2025-08-24 6.393601 8.753550 11.964503 16.718257 23.689063 33.712907 49.541668
2025-08-31 5.654792 8.037343 11.420578 16.666572 24.761852 37.058608 57.695994
2025-09-07 5.176179 7.617587 11.225590 17.069711 26.537271 41.698415 68.701557
2025-09-14 4.653245 7.059928 10.743758 16.946477 27.442428 45.073440 78.233964
2025-09-21 4.163705 6.491160 10.167492 16.577847 27.863734 47.672393 86.862301
2025-09-28 3.794103 6.067711 9.766947 16.434904 28.627968 50.954796 97.361391
2025-10-05 3.606055 5.917953 9.794563 17.023993 30.771695 57.080877 114.682289
2025-10-12 3.426828 5.761140 9.787425 17.540900 32.844521 63.397459 133.748477
2025-10-19 3.213541 5.528738 9.631821 17.782276 34.463681 69.181132 153.224238
2025-10-26 2.960616 5.199922 9.266326 17.573691 35.146797 73.141718 169.485523
2025-11-02 2.726087 4.881449 8.885889 17.286173 35.621901 76.739540 185.782250
2025-11-09 2.515467 4.587213 8.520455 16.981943 36.014260 80.223238 202.694410
2025-11-16 2.339314 4.342019 8.224912 16.786221 36.619616 84.322190 222.358329
2025-11-23 2.193938 4.143123 8.000888 16.715599 37.503414 89.270113 245.789722
2025-11-30 2.106994 4.052172 7.986899 17.107997 39.557512 97.598937 281.689180
2025-12-07 1.979502 3.866852 7.756727 16.976928 40.295454 102.591682 308.690445
2025-12-14 1.842822 3.650561 7.439536 16.602941 40.356248 105.740864 330.625077
2025-12-21 1.737095 3.490345 7.228550 16.456880 40.992104 110.649793 360.129797
2025-12-28 1.695921 3.464748 7.312695 17.044972 43.708972 122.256935 417.644271